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New article published in European Journal of Political Research

Elena Semenova, Keith Dowding and André Kaiser on "How constitutional and institutional rules affect nonpartisan ministerial appointments: Europe 1945–2024"

Previous analyses of the presence of non-partisans in cabinets consider the relative power of presidents as the explanatory factor. However, their analysis either uses indices of presidential power or is in terms of regime type – semi-presidential, parliamentary, or monarchical. Using a novel dataset on non-partisan appointments in 30 European democracies, we deploy an innovative two-step fractional response regression. This enables us to disentangle different determinants of the presence of non-partisans and how many (their magnitude). We show that these determinants have partly different effects on whether any non-partisans are appointed to cabinets and on their magnitude. Direct presidential elections increase the likelihood, but not the magnitude, of non-partisan appointments, and a president’s power to dissolve parliament increases both likelihood and magnitude. Furthermore, we discover that a prime minister’s power to dissolve parliament decreases the magnitude of such appointments but does not affect their likelihood. Our analysis fine-tunes the institutional details that affect the likelihood and magnitude of nonpartisan appointments. In so doing, we show that regime types are concealing important within-type differences.

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Semenova, E., Dowding, K. & Kaiser, A. (2025). How constitutional and institutional rules affect non-partisan ministerial appointments: Europe 1945–2024. European Journal of Political Research. Published online: 1-23. doi:10.1017/S1475676525100492